Evening,
Something that I have seen on PoliticalBetting this afternoon, showing the difference in leads that the Tories have got at the moment in comparison to the sort of lead that Labour had prior to their landslide in 1997. And it makes for extremely bad reading for Chairman Brown.
The above is the poll that ICM/Guardian ran at the start of November 1996, some six months prior to the subsequent landslide that bought Blair into Downing Street. Now although Labour had a commanding 13 point lead, look at where the Tories were back then. Fuck, Chairman Brown would probably kill to be anywhere near the sort of figures that the Tories were on, at their Nadir.
Which opens up any number of questions, primarily just how bad could the scale of defeat could be for Labour whenever they announce the date of the election, and what would be the consequences of such a dire result for Labour.
I get the feeling that just like 96/97 voters have made their minds up. They might not like the Tories but they just want the election to happen so they can put Brown in his place. It is said that it is not oppositions who win elections, it is governments who lose them.
Rob :)
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